NASCAR AT ATLANTA ODDS, PICKS 2019: MODEL SAYS CHASE ELLIOTT SURPRISES AT FOLDS OF HONOR QUIKTRIP 500
The 2019 NASCAR schedule kicks into high gear Sunday with the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
The green flag drops at two p.m. ET for your 325-lap race along with defending champion Kevin Harvick is the 4-1 favorite from the latest 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 odds. Falling in just behind him with 6-1 NASCAR at Atlanta chances are Joey Logano and Kyle Busch, who both finished in the top four last week at the Daytona 500. Before you make your own 2019 QuikTrip 500 selections and NASCAR at Atlanta predictions, be sure to check out the projected leaderboard in the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.
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It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including nailing wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a leading competition from the start. Anybody who has followed its picks is way, way up.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Atlanta Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. Now his version mimicked the 2019 Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 a total of 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For the 2019 QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta, we could tell you the model is high on Chase Elliott, who makes a strong run in the checkered flag despite heading off at 10-1 odds. Elliott doesn’t have a long history at Atlanta, but he has had success there in all three of his starts in the track since joining the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series. He’s finished inside the top 10 in every one of those races and even earned a top-five finish in 2017.
Before joining NASCAR’s top circuit, Elliott had two top-five endings at Atlanta in the NASCAR Xfinity Series. Elliott is a Georgia native and his father, Bill Elliott, won at NASCAR’s highest level in Atlanta Motor Speedway five times in his career, so it is something of a home track for its 23-year-old. The model expects him to ride that edge towards the top of the leaderboard on Sunday.
Another shocker in the version: Kyle Busch, among the best Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five.
The 2019 Daytona 500 runner-up began on the rod in this race a year ago, but wound up finishing in seventh position. The year before, he had yet another fast ride and began the race , but wound up in 16th.
Since his win at Atlanta at 2013, Busch has just conducted 56.7 percent of his laps inside the top 15. For his career, he has finished outside the top 10 in 13 of his 20 career starts at Atlanta Motor Speedway. There are far better values within this loaded 2019 QuikTrip 500 lineup than the 6-1 premium you’ll want to cover him.
The version is also targeting three other drivers with 2019 NASCAR in Atlanta odds of 10-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.
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